20 Aug · 20:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
HT
🇵🇱Henryk Tkaczyk
ELO 1662
FormWWLLW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Guzik
MG
🇵🇱Michal Guzik
ELO 1738
FormLWWWW
42%
58%
Fair odds · Guzik
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~79 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+76
H2H0-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+76)