20 Aug · 18:55 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
JS
🇵🇱Jakub Skorupa
ELO 1488
FormLLWLL
75%Win chancemodel fair 1.33Guzik
MG
🇵🇱Michal Guzik
ELO 1738
FormLWWWW
25%
75%
Fair odds · Guzik
Model 75% · 1.33vsMarket 72% · 1.39· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 60%Total ~78 pts
0-3
32%
1-3
27%
2-3
16%
3-2
10%
3-1
9%
Elo Gap+250
H2H6-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+250)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-2)