Sebastian Szostok vs Jerzy Pelka — TT Elite Series

← TT Elite Series predictions

20 Aug · 13:10 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct

🇵🇱Sebastian Szostok

ELO 1578

3-2Final setsSzostok won

🇵🇱Jerzy Pelka

ELO 1475

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Szostok at 60%. The actual result was Sebastian Szostok 3-2 — the pick was correct.

Sebastian Szostok — profile →Jerzy Pelka — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Sebastian Szostok favoured — closing 1.15

Favourite won

Set handicap

Sebastian Szostok −1.5 sets

No cover

Points handicap

Sebastian Szostok −8.5 points

No cover

Total sets 4.5

over / under

Over

Exact score

market priced 3-2 at close

4.9

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Sebastian Szostok is favoured to win, below means Jerzy Pelka.

▲ Sebastian Szostokpre 57% → final 100%

Jerzy Pelka ▼

Biggest swing 55 pts72 points · 4 games