20 Aug · 18:20 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
WG
🇵🇱Waldemar Glanowski
ELO 1422
FormLWLLL
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Szostok
SS
🇵🇱Sebastian Szostok
ELO 1573
FormLWWWL
34%
66%
Fair odds · Szostok
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 82% · 1.23· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~76 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
24%
2-3
16%
3-1
13%
3-2
12%
Elo Gap+151
H2H8-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+151)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-5)