20 Aug · 18:15 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JP
🇵🇱Jacek Przewlocki
ELO 1372
FormLLWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Przewlocki
MK
🇵🇱Marcin Kowalczyk
ELO 1355
FormWLWLW
52%
48%
🌟Kowalczyk covers set handicap as underdog 71% (41)
Fair odds · Przewlocki
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
19%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+17
H2H4-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.