20 Aug · 20:10 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
DS
🇵🇱Dariusz Szlubowski
ELO 1457
FormLWWWL
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Szlubowski
JR
🇵🇱Jaroslaw Rolak
ELO 1321
FormWWWLW
65%
35%
🔥 Underdog lean · Rolak🌟Rolak covers set handicap as underdog 82% (28)
Fair odds · Szlubowski
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 76% · 1.32· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~80 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
24%
3-2
16%
1-3
14%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+136
H2H18-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+136)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (18-3)