Marcin Kowalczyk vs Bartlomiej Mrugala — TT Elite Series

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20 Aug · 21:30 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed

🇵🇱Marcin Kowalczyk

ELO 1366

3-0Final setsKowalczyk won

🇵🇱Bartlomiej Mrugala

ELO 1338

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Mrugala at 51%. The actual result was Marcin Kowalczyk 3-0 — the underdog won.

Marcin Kowalczyk — profile →Bartlomiej Mrugala — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Bartlomiej Mrugala favoured — closing 1.8

Upset

Total 76.5

59 points played

Under

Set handicap

Bartlomiej Mrugala −1.5 sets

No cover

Points handicap

Bartlomiej Mrugala −0.5 points

No cover

Total sets 4.5

over / under

Under

Exact score

market priced 3-0 at close

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Marcin Kowalczyk is favoured to win, below means Bartlomiej Mrugala.

▲ Marcin Kowalczykpre 53% → final 100%

Bartlomiej Mrugala ▼

Biggest swing 51 pts72 points · 5 games