Jaroslaw Rolak vs Bartlomiej Mrugala — TT Elite Series

← TT Elite Series predictions

20 Aug · 22:15 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed

🇵🇱Jaroslaw Rolak

ELO 1346

3-1Final setsRolak won

🇵🇱Bartlomiej Mrugala

ELO 1345

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Mrugala at 54%. The actual result was Jaroslaw Rolak 3-1 — the underdog won.

Jaroslaw Rolak — profile →Bartlomiej Mrugala — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Bartlomiej Mrugala favoured — closing 1.2

Upset

Set handicap

Bartlomiej Mrugala −1.5 sets

No cover

Points handicap

Bartlomiej Mrugala −8.5 points

No cover

Total sets 4.5

over / under

Under

Exact score

market priced 3-1 at close

11.5

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jaroslaw Rolak is favoured to win, below means Bartlomiej Mrugala.

▲ Jaroslaw Rolakpre 42% → final 94%

Bartlomiej Mrugala ▼

Biggest swing 64 ptsRolak recovered from 30%71 points · 3 games