Marcin Kowalczyk vs Jaroslaw Rolak — TT Elite Series

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20 Aug · 23:20 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed

🇵🇱Marcin Kowalczyk

ELO 1366

1-3Final setsRolak won

🇵🇱Jaroslaw Rolak

ELO 1351

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Kowalczyk at 51%. The actual result was Jaroslaw Rolak 1-3 — the underdog won.

Marcin Kowalczyk — profile →Jaroslaw Rolak — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Kowalczyk favoured — closing 1.7

Upset

Set handicap

Kowalczyk −1.5 sets

No cover

Points handicap

Kowalczyk −1.5 points

No cover

Total sets 4.5

over / under

Under

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Marcin Kowalczyk is favoured to win, below means Jaroslaw Rolak.

▲ Marcin Kowalczykpre 55% → final 11%

Jaroslaw Rolak ▼

Biggest swing 78 ptsRolak recovered from 18%72 points · 4 games