Marek Tkocz vs Marian Lebek — TT Elite Series

← TT Elite Series predictions

20 Aug · 23:35 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct

🇵🇱Marek Tkocz

ELO 1595

2-3Final setsLebek won

🇵🇱Marian Lebek

ELO 1575

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Lebek at 50%. The actual result was Marian Lebek 2-3 — the pick was correct.

Marek Tkocz — profile →Marian Lebek — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Marek Tkocz favoured — closing 1.57

Upset

Total 76.5

94 points played

Over

Set handicap

Marek Tkocz −1.5 sets

No cover

Points handicap

Marek Tkocz −3.5 points

No cover

Total sets 4.5

over / under

Over

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Marek Tkocz is favoured to win, below means Marian Lebek.

▲ Marek Tkoczpre 46% → final 9%

Marian Lebek ▼

Biggest swing 49 pts72 points · 5 games