21 Aug · 06:50 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MB
🇵🇱Marcin Balcerzak
ELO 1624
FormWWWLL
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Balcerzak
JZ
🇵🇱Jakub Zochniak
ELO 1516
FormLLWLW
62%
38%
🌟Balcerzak goes over total as favourite 75% (16)
Fair odds · Balcerzak
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 63% · 1.58· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~79 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
23%
3-2
15%
1-3
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+108
H2H15-14
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+108)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (15-14)