21 Aug · 08:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
KR
🇵🇱Kamil Rudomina
ELO 1455
FormWLLLW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Zochniak
JZ
🇵🇱Jakub Zochniak
ELO 1531
FormWWLLW
42%
58%
🔥 Underdog lean · Rudomina🌟Rudomina covers set handicap as underdog 67% (12)
Fair odds · Zochniak
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 56% · 1.78· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~79 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+76
H2H63-37
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+76)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (63-37)