21 Aug · 07:35 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
SK
🇵🇱Sebastian Krupa
ELO 1468
FormWWLWW
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Lebek
ML
🇵🇱Marian Lebek
ELO 1588
FormLWWWW
37%
63%
Fair odds · Lebek
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 55% · 1.83· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~78 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
23%
2-3
16%
3-1
15%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+120
H2H9-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+120)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (9-7)