21 Aug · 08:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PP
🇵🇱Pawel Polok
ELO 1563
FormWWLWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Polok
PG
🇵🇱Piotr Gumulinski
ELO 1498
FormWLWLL
57%
43%
🔥 Underdog lean · Gumulinski🌟Gumulinski covers set handicap as underdog 74% (19)
Fair odds · Polok
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 61% · 1.63· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~79 pts
3-1
22%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+65
H2H2-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+65)