21 Aug · 10:05 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MB
🇵🇱Marcin Balcerzak
ELO 1621
FormLWLWW
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Balcerzak
JG
🇵🇱Jakub Glanowski
ELO 1515
FormWLWLW
62%
38%
🌟Balcerzak goes over total as favourite 75% (16)
Fair odds · Balcerzak
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 65% · 1.54· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~77 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
22%
3-2
15%
1-3
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+106
H2H7-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+106)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-5)