21 Aug · 10:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
GP
🇵🇱Grzegorz Poliniewicz
ELO 1657
FormWLWLW
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Poliniewicz
JZ
🇵🇱Jakub Zochniak
ELO 1522
FormLWWLL
65%
35%
🌟Poliniewicz goes over total as favourite 71% (14)
Fair odds · Poliniewicz
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 77% · 1.29· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~77 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
24%
3-2
16%
1-3
14%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+135
H2H69-18
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+135)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (69-18)