21 Aug · 10:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OJ
🇵🇱Oskar Jadach
ELO 1600
FormLWWWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Wichowski
GW
🇵🇱Grzegorz Wichowski
ELO 1647
FormWWWWW
45%
55%
Fair odds · Wichowski
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 53% · 1.89· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
1-3
22%
3-1
18%
0-3
18%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+47
H2H19-16
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+47)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (19-16)