21 Aug · 12:05 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
AW
🇵🇱Alan Wos
ELO 1541
FormWLLLW
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Poliniewicz
GP
🇵🇱Grzegorz Poliniewicz
ELO 1662
FormWWLWL
37%
63%
🌟Poliniewicz goes over total as favourite 71% (14)
Fair odds · Poliniewicz
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 67% · 1.50· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~75 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
23%
2-3
16%
3-1
14%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+121
H2H7-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+121)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-2)