21 Aug · 18:35 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MC
🇵🇱Milosz Cesarz
ELO 1255
FormWLLLL
73%Win chancemodel fair 1.37Schaniel
KS
🇵🇱Krzysztof Schaniel
ELO 1480
FormWLLLW
27%
73%
🌟Cesarz goes over total as underdog 63% (38)
Fair odds · Schaniel
Model 73% · 1.37vsMarket 70% · 1.42· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 58%Total ~75 pts
0-3
31%
1-3
27%
2-3
15%
3-2
11%
3-1
10%
Elo Gap+225
H2H8-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+225)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-3)