21 Aug · 15:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DS
🇵🇱Dominik Solilo
ELO 1474
FormLWLWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Solilo
AM
🇵🇱Arkadiusz Mugowski
ELO 1426
FormLLWWW
55%
45%
🌟Mugowski covers set handicap as underdog 62% (16)
Fair odds · Solilo
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 58% · 1.71· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~79 pts
3-1
22%
1-3
18%
3-0
18%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+48
H2H1-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+48)