21 Aug · 15:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AW
🇵🇱Alan Wos
ELO 1542
FormLWWLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Wos
JZ
🇵🇱Jakub Zochniak
ELO 1495
FormLLLLL
55%
45%
🌟Zochniak goes over total as underdog 62% (98)
Fair odds · Wos
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~78 pts
3-1
22%
1-3
18%
3-0
18%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+47
H2H4-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+47)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)