21 Aug · 20:55 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MA
🇵🇱Mariusz Adamus
ELO 1489
FormLLWLW
74%Win chancemodel fair 1.35Adamus
MC
🇵🇱Milosz Cesarz
ELO 1255
FormWLLLL
74%
26%
🌟Adamus rarely covers set handicap as favourite 37% (19)
Fair odds · Adamus
Model 74% · 1.35vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 59%Total ~74 pts
3-0
32%
3-1
27%
3-2
15%
2-3
11%
1-3
10%
Elo Gap+234
H2H16-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+234)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (16-11)