21 Aug · 20:10 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MC
🇵🇱Milosz Cesarz
ELO 1255
FormWLLLL
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Slosarczyk
PS
🇵🇱Pawel Slosarczyk
ELO 1369
FormWLLLL
38%
62%
🌟Slosarczyk rarely covers set handicap as favourite 37% (52)
Fair odds · Slosarczyk
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 69% · 1.46· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~76 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
23%
2-3
15%
3-1
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+114
H2H5-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+114)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-0)