21 Aug · 19:45 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MA
🇵🇱Mariusz Adamus
ELO 1489
FormLLWLW
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Szostok
SS
🇵🇱Sebastian Szostok
ELO 1578
FormWLWWW
40%
60%
🌟Adamus covers set handicap as underdog 94% (16)
Fair odds · Szostok
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~77 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+89
H2H33-16
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+89)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (33-16)