21 Aug · 18:55 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
SS
🇵🇱Sebastian Szostok
ELO 1578
FormWLWWW
72%Win chancemodel fair 1.39Szostok
PS
🇵🇱Pawel Slosarczyk
ELO 1369
FormWLLLL
72%
28%
Fair odds · Szostok
Model 72% · 1.39vsMarket 72% · 1.39· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 57%Total ~76 pts
3-0
31%
3-1
26%
3-2
15%
2-3
12%
1-3
11%
Elo Gap+209
H2H23-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+209)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (23-8)