21 Aug · 15:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
GW
🇵🇱Grzegorz Wichowski
ELO 1651
FormLWWWW
71%Win chancemodel fair 1.41Wichowski
WT
🇵🇱Wojciech Tobiasz
ELO 1451
FormWLWLL
71%
29%
Fair odds · Wichowski
Model 71% · 1.41vsMarket 58% · 1.72· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 56%Total ~76 pts
3-0
30%
3-1
26%
3-2
15%
2-3
12%
1-3
11%
Elo Gap+200
H2H84-22
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+200)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (84-22)