21 Aug · 15:10 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
OJ
🇵🇱Oskar Jadach
ELO 1593
FormWLLLW
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Jadach
JP
🇵🇱Jerzy Pelka
ELO 1470
FormWWLLW
63%
37%
Fair odds · Jadach
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~74 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
23%
3-2
16%
1-3
14%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+123
H2H21-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+123)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (21-11)