21 Aug · 23:45 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
SS
🇵🇱Sebastian Szostok
ELO 1578
FormWLWWW
72%Win chancemodel fair 1.39Szostok
GS
🇵🇱Grzegorz Sawicki
ELO 1363
FormWWLWL
72%
28%
🌟Sawicki covers set handicap as underdog 74% (23)
Fair odds · Szostok
Model 72% · 1.39vsMarket 74% · 1.36· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 57%Total ~76 pts
3-0
31%
3-1
26%
3-2
15%
2-3
12%
1-3
10%
Elo Gap+215
H2H13-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+215)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (13-2)