22 Aug · 01:45 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MC
🇵🇱Milosz Cesarz
ELO 1255
FormWLLLL
81%Win chancemodel fair 1.23Szostok
SS
🇵🇱Sebastian Szostok
ELO 1578
FormWLWWW
19%
81%
🌟Cesarz goes over total as underdog 63% (38)
Fair odds · Szostok
Model 81% · 1.23vsMarket 77% · 1.29· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 68%Total ~72 pts
0-3
40%
1-3
28%
2-3
12%
3-2
9%
3-1
7%
Elo Gap+323
H2H6-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+323)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-2)