22 Aug · 03:00 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MC
🇵🇱Milosz Cesarz
ELO 1255
FormWLLLL
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Sawicki
GS
🇵🇱Grzegorz Sawicki
ELO 1363
FormWWLWL
38%
62%
🌟Cesarz goes over total as underdog 63% (38)
Fair odds · Sawicki
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~76 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
23%
2-3
15%
3-1
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+108
H2H5-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+108)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-1)