22 Aug · 01:20 MESZLow · Slight Edge
KD
🇵🇱Kamil Durak
ELO 1519
FormWLLLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Durak
KS
🇵🇱Krzysztof Schaniel
ELO 1480
FormWLLLW
54%
46%
🌟Durak rarely covers set handicap as favourite 22% (18)
Fair odds · Durak
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 64% · 1.56· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~79 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
18%
3-0
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+39
H2H2-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.