22 Aug · 00:35 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
GS
🇵🇱Grzegorz Sawicki
ELO 1363
FormWWLWL
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Schaniel
KS
🇵🇱Krzysztof Schaniel
ELO 1480
FormWLLLW
37%
63%
🔥 Underdog lean · Sawicki🌟Sawicki covers set handicap as underdog 74% (23)
Fair odds · Schaniel
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~78 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
23%
2-3
15%
3-1
15%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+117
H2H5-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+117)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-4)