21 Aug · 22:30 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MA
🇵🇱Mariusz Adamus
ELO 1489
FormLLWLW
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Adamus
PS
🇵🇱Pawel Slosarczyk
ELO 1369
FormWLLLL
63%
37%
🌟Adamus rarely covers set handicap as favourite 37% (19)
Fair odds · Adamus
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~77 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
23%
3-2
16%
1-3
15%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+120
H2H19-15
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+120)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (19-15)