21 Aug · 18:40 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
GW
🇵🇱Grzegorz Wichowski
ELO 1644
FormWLWLL
69%Win chancemodel fair 1.45Wichowski
JP
🇵🇱Jerzy Pelka
ELO 1466
FormLWLWW
69%
31%
Fair odds · Wichowski
Model 69% · 1.45vsMarket 65% · 1.54· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 52%Total ~76 pts
3-1
27%
3-0
25%
3-2
17%
1-3
12%
2-3
11%
Elo Gap+178
H2H35-21
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+178)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (35-21)