21 Aug · 23:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MS
🇵🇱Michal Skorski
ELO 1327
FormWLLWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Skorski
AE
🇵🇱Adrian Eliasz
ELO 1271
FormLWLLL
56%
44%
Fair odds · Skorski
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 38% · 2.62· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+56
H2H9-9
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+56)