21 Aug · 23:05 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
BM
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Mrugala
ELO 1363
FormWWWWW
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Mrugala
WG
🇵🇱Wojciech Gluszek
ELO 1277
FormWLWLL
60%
40%
🌟Mrugala rarely covers set handicap as favourite 22% (18)
Fair odds · Mrugala
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~78 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
19%
3-2
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+86
H2H4-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+86)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)