21 Aug · 22:45 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AR
🇵🇱Adam Ruszkiewicz
ELO 1505
FormWWWWL
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Ruszkiewicz
RA
🇵🇱Rafal Adach
ELO 1341
FormWLLLL
67%
33%
🌟Ruszkiewicz rarely covers set handicap as favourite 8% (12)
Fair odds · Ruszkiewicz
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~74 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
25%
3-2
17%
1-3
13%
2-3
12%
Elo Gap+164
H2H11-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+164)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (11-7)