21 Aug · 20:20 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
RW
🇵🇱Roman Wiza
ELO 1376
2-3Final setsNowak won
JN
🇵🇱Jakub Nowak
ELO 1314
What the model said
Before the match, the model favoured Wiza at 56%. The actual result was Jakub Nowak 2-3 — the underdog won.
How the markets settled
The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.
Match winner
Roman Wiza favoured — closing 1.57
Set handicap
Roman Wiza −1.5 sets
Points handicap
Roman Wiza −3.5 points
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Win probability
Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Roman Wiza is favoured to win, below means Jakub Nowak.
▲ Roman Wizapre 53% → final 11%
Jakub Nowak ▼
Biggest swing 72 ptsNowak recovered from 20%72 points · 5 games