21 Aug · 21:55 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
RA
🇵🇱Rafal Adach
ELO 1370
3-0Final setsAdach won
DF
🇵🇱Damian Fira
ELO 1392
What the model said
Before the match, the model favoured Fira at 57%. The actual result was Rafal Adach 3-0 — the underdog won.
How the markets settled
The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.
Match winner
Damian Fira favoured — closing 1.47
Total 75.5
51 points played
Set handicap
Damian Fira −1.5 sets
Points handicap
Damian Fira −4.5 points
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
Win probability
Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Rafal Adach is favoured to win, below means Damian Fira.
▲ Rafal Adachpre 46% → final 100%
Damian Fira ▼
Biggest swing 65 ptsAdach recovered from 35%50 points · 3 games