21 Aug · 22:40 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
JN
🇵🇱Jakub Nowak
ELO 1316
3-1Final setsNowak won
DF
🇵🇱Damian Fira
ELO 1388
What the model said
Before the match, the model favoured Fira at 60%. The actual result was Jakub Nowak 3-1 — the underdog won.
How the markets settled
The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.
Match winner
Damian Fira favoured — closing 1.4
Set handicap
Damian Fira −1.5 sets
Points handicap
Damian Fira −5.5 points
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
Win probability
Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jakub Nowak is favoured to win, below means Damian Fira.
▲ Jakub Nowakpre 43% → final 94%
Damian Fira ▼
Biggest swing 56 ptsNowak recovered from 41%71 points · 4 games