22 Aug · 06:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JP
🇵🇱Jacek Przewlocki
ELO 1411
FormWWWLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Przewlocki
JR
🇵🇱Jaroslaw Rolak
ELO 1360
FormWWLWW
56%
44%
🌟Rolak covers set handicap as underdog 82% (28)
Fair odds · Przewlocki
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 46% · 2.20· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~79 pts
3-1
22%
3-0
18%
1-3
18%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+51
H2H14-9
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+51)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (14-9)