22 Aug · 06:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
TP
🇵🇱Tadeusz Piotrowski
ELO 1421
FormWWWWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Piotrowski
AS
🇵🇱Artur Szoltysek
ELO 1371
FormWWWLW
55%
45%
Fair odds · Piotrowski
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 58% · 1.72· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~78 pts
3-1
22%
1-3
18%
3-0
18%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+50
H2H28-26
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+50)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (28-26)