22 Aug · 10:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PA
🇵🇱Pawel Adamus
ELO 1498
FormWLLLW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Pytlas
WP
🇵🇱Wojciech Pytlas
ELO 1581
FormLWWWW
41%
59%
🌟Adamus goes over total as underdog 65% (57)
Fair odds · Pytlas
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 52% · 1.91· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~76 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+83
H2H4-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+83)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-2)