22 Aug · 12:10 MESZLow · Slight Edge
BK
🇵🇱Bartosz Kwodawski
ELO 1376
FormLWLWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Kwodawski
JR
🇵🇱Jaroslaw Rolak
ELO 1362
FormWLLWW
52%
48%
🌟Rolak covers set handicap as underdog 82% (28)
Fair odds · Kwodawski
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
19%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+14
H2H1-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.