22 Aug · 11:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
PJ
🇵🇱Patryk Jedrzejak
ELO 1683
FormWWLWW
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Jedrzejak
JJ
🇵🇱Jakub Jesiek
ELO 1524
FormLWWWW
67%
33%
Fair odds · Jedrzejak
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 65% · 1.53· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~76 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
24%
3-2
16%
1-3
13%
2-3
12%
Elo Gap+159
H2H5-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+159)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-3)