22 Aug · 11:20 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
JZ
🇵🇱Jakub Zochniak
ELO 1512
FormWWLWL
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Kapik
KK
🇵🇱Krzysztof Kapik
ELO 1617
FormWWLWW
39%
61%
🌟Zochniak goes over total as underdog 62% (98)
Fair odds · Kapik
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 70% · 1.42· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~77 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
22%
3-1
15%
2-3
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+105
H2H82-40
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+105)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (82-40)