22 Aug · 11:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
BK
🇵🇱Bartosz Kwodawski
ELO 1376
FormLWLWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Przewlocki
JP
🇵🇱Jacek Przewlocki
ELO 1408
FormLWWLW
47%
53%
Fair odds · Przewlocki
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 48% · 2.10· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
19%
0-3
17%
2-3
15%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+32
H2H1-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.