22 Aug · 10:45 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
JJ
🇵🇱Jakub Jesiek
ELO 1524
FormLWWWW
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Jesiek
RI
🇵🇱Rafal Idaczyk
ELO 1428
FormLWLLL
60%
40%
🔥 Underdog lean · Idaczyk🌟Idaczyk stays under total as underdog 72% (25)
Fair odds · Jesiek
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~77 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
22%
1-3
16%
3-2
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+96
H2H6-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+96)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-4)