22 Aug · 10:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JZ
🇵🇱Jakub Zochniak
ELO 1512
FormWWLWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Szurlej
KS
🇵🇱Kacper Szurlej
ELO 1541
FormWWLLL
47%
53%
🌟Zochniak goes over total as underdog 62% (98)
Fair odds · Szurlej
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 47% · 2.11· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~78 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
19%
0-3
17%
2-3
15%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+29
H2H1-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.