22 Aug · 10:20 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
PJ
🇵🇱Patryk Jedrzejak
ELO 1683
FormWWLWW
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Jedrzejak
FW
🇵🇱Filip Witczak
ELO 1534
FormWLLLW
66%
34%
Fair odds · Jedrzejak
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 62% · 1.62· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~75 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
24%
3-2
16%
1-3
13%
2-3
12%
Elo Gap+149
H2H33-27
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+149)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (33-27)